Latest forecast
| Horizon | Target (UTC) | Median | Δ pips | 50 % band | 90 % band | P(up) |
|---|
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Closed hourly bars, times in UTC. The cone is the latest forecast: dashed median, 50 % band (dark) and 90 % band (light). The markers give P(up), the chance that the bar closes above the origin close, at 1 h, 4 h, 12 h, 1 d, 3 d and 1 w.
| Horizon | Target (UTC) | Median | Δ pips | 50 % band | 90 % band | P(up) |
|---|
Scored forecast points whose target bar closed in the window, from the score ledger. MAE in pips (0.0001); naive is the random walk (last close carried forward); skill is 1 − MAE / naive MAE, positive when the median beats the last close; coverage is the share of targets inside the 50 / 80 / 90 % bands, ideally the nominal value.